Handicapping Advice for Tuesday’s NBA Fantasy Basketball (3/16/10)

Eight games on the NBA schedule for Tuesday and the fantasy action looks pretty good.  Here are tonight’s NBA fantasy basketball handicapping tips and betting picks:

POINT GUARD:

  • Jannero Pargo is minimum salary and could get some run if Derrick Rose is going to miss with his injured wrist.
  • Randy Foye is on the verge of losing playing time.  Avoid him.
  • Mike Bibby is dealing with an injury so avoid him.  Jamal Crawford could be a really nice SG play against the Nets if Bibby can’t go.
  • Earl Watson will get a start with T.J. Ford out.  Watson has a tough matchup against the Bobcats though.
  • Will Bynum gets a start tonight with Rodney Stuckey still sidelined. 
  • Mike Conley lost a big chunk of minutes to Marcus Williams in the last game, so play it safe and avoid Conley.
  • Steve Nash is expensive and he scares me tonight.  Goran Dragic is healthy and Leandro Barbosa could also play.  Nash is tired and he needs some rest, and he could start getting it soon, which would really hurt his daily cash game production.
  • Chauncey Billups against Washington is probably going to be the best PG play Tuesday.
  • Tyreke Evans gets a tough matchup with Lakers.  He’s the most expensive PG on the board and I just don’t think he’s going to earn his salary against the Lakers.
  • Avoid Devin Harris (illness), Derrick Rose (wrist), Rodney Stuckey (injury).

 

SHOOTING GUARD:

  • Terrence Williams is getting good playing time and makes a nice low priced roster filler against the Hawks.
  • Jamal Crawford is a great play tonight against the Nets.  Mike Bibby is having some injury problems and Joe Johnson is out.  Somebody has to pick up the scoring, and it should be Crawford.
  • Jason Richardson is another interesting mid-priced play.  He’s wildly inconsistent, but if you want to gamble, he always has the ability to reward you.
  • Manu Ginobili is also a good mid priced pick against Miami.
  • Stephen Jackson starts to get you into the higher priced players, but he’s got a very nice mathcup with Indiana and should try to take over this game with Gerald Wallace likely out.
  • Kobe Bryant and Dwyane Wade sit atop the SG board and they are similarly priced.  Bryant gets Sacramento while Wade gets the tough matchup with San Antonio.  Both should produce similar stats.
  • Avoid Joe Johnson (achilles), Mike Dunleavy (eye).

 

SMALL FORWARD:

  • Stephen Graham is minimum salary and he got the start last game in place of Gerald Wallace
  • FSL finally adjusted Andray Blatche’s salary, but it only bumped up to the mid priced level similar to players such as Tayshaun Prince, Ron Artest and Grant Hill.  I’d still go with Blatche at his new salary given the fact the he has huge upside every night and he’s got a good matchup against Denver, who is without Kenyon Martin.
  • Danny Granger has had some nagging injuries and he isn’t always on his game.  He’s a risky, expensive play so be careful using him.
  • Rudy Gay has a good matchup against a Chicago team who will likely be without Luol Deng and Derrick Rose.  Gay could have a big night.
  • Josh Smith is an interesting play against the Nets.  Joe Johnson is out so Atlanta may look to play inside against a NJ team who is missing starting PF Yi JianlianAl Horford will tangle with Brook Lopez, which may leave Smith open for opportunities.
  • Avoid Gerald Wallace (ankle), Luol Deng (leg), Tayshaun Prince (back), Grant Hill (concussion).

 

POWER FORWARD:

  • James Johnson is minimum salary and will probably get another start for the injured Luol Deng.  He played 42 minutes in his last one, which is pretty good for minimum salary.
  • Jason Maxiell matched up with a tough Boston team last night and his matchup doesn’t get any easier tonight with Cleveland.  He held his own Monday with 11pt/10reb and should be able to do similar against Cleveland.
  • Udonis Haslem got the start in place of Michael Beasley in Miami’s last game.  I haven’t yet seen a report on whether Beasley is playing Tuesday, so check it gametime and then consider Haslem if you need a lower priced PF.
  • Carl Landry has been very dependable, but his matchup is a little tough against the Lakers.
  • Troy Murphy has a matchup against Charlotte, but Boris Diaw should be able to stick to Murphy pretty well and keep him under control. 
  • Amare Stoudemire is one of my favorite PF plays.  He has just been killing it and he gets a good matchup with Minnesota who have a banged up Kevin Love at PF.
  • Zach Randolph sits atop the PF board and he has become really expensive.  He’s got a good matchup with a weak Chicago interior, so if you have the money he should produce near his salary.  Also, Marc Gasol has a strained neck and might be limited.  If so, then Randolph will have the inside all to himself.
  • Avoid Tim Duncan (overpriced/inconsistent minutes), Kevin Love (banged up), Michael Beasley (injury).

 

CENTER:

  • JaVale McGee again.  He actually produced last night, so congrats if you had him going.  He’s minimum salary, but you never know what your are going to get with him.
  • Brad Miller gets a matchup with Memphis.  Marc Gasol has a strained neck and I’m not sure how much he’s going to play.  Miller could be decent if Gasol is out.  Check it gametime.
  • Al Horford has seen his salary steadily rise over the last couple of weeks and Tuesday he has to contend with the Nets and Brook Lopez.  Not a bad play, but don’t expect too much.
  • Andrew Bynum had a decent game Monday against the Warriors and can probably put up a decent number against the Kings.
  • Brook Lopez is in an interesting spot Tuesday.  New Jersey will be without Devin Harris and Yi Jianlian, so it could be one of those games where Lopez tries to put the team on his back and carry them.    He has to contend with Al Horford and Josh Smith inside for Atlanta, who I’m sure might be planning on taking out the Nets’ biggest weapon, so I’m not sure what his upside is.  Since he’s only about 10% more than Horford, I’d gamble on Lopez.
  • Avoid Marc Gasol (neck), Ben Wallace (knee), Jermaine O’Neal (injury risk/tough matchup).